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    EQUINIX (EQIX)

    EQIX Q2 2025: 8% interconnection growth with 6,200 net adds

    Reported on Jul 31, 2025 (After Market Close)
    Pre-Earnings Price$797.04Last close (Jul 30, 2025)
    Post-Earnings Price$805.66Open (Jul 31, 2025)
    Price Change
    $8.62(+1.08%)
    • Strong interconnection momentum: The Q&A highlighted that Equinix experienced 8% year‐over‐year growth in interconnection revenues, with 6,200 net new interconnections in the quarter, driven by robust demand in cloud and AI use cases, reinforcing its market leadership in connected ecosystems.
    • Robust bookings and pipeline: Executives noted that by the start of Q3, over 40% of the quarterly bookings plan had already been closed, supported by a strong and diversified pipeline that is expected to drive accelerated recurring revenue growth moving into 2026.
    • Accelerated stabilization of new capacity: The call emphasized an accelerated timeline (18–24 months) to stabilize new IBX assets through fewer build phases and proactive presales, which suggests that the firm's Build Bolder strategy is well positioned to translate increased capacity into recurring revenue sooner than historical trends.
    • Volatility in interconnection revenue: The Q&A highlighted a sawtooth pattern in interconnection performance with lumpy, quarter‐to‐quarter booking results that may lead to unpredictable revenue trends in the future.
    • Risks from accelerated CapEx and build execution: While management is accelerating stabilization of new data centers, challenges such as supply chain issues, reliance on pre-buying equipment, and potential delays in reaching RFS could undermine growth.
    • Concerns with MRR churn and lumpy ex scale leasing: Elevated MRR churn (notably influenced by events like bankruptcies) and the inherently lumpy nature of ex scale leasing activities could pressure recurring revenue growth and margin stability.
    MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange

    Revenue Growth

    FY 2025

    Raised by $142 million, maintaining a 7% to 8% normalized and constant currency growth rate

    Expected to grow at a 7% to 8% normalized and constant currency growth rate

    lowered

    Adjusted EBITDA

    FY 2025

    Raised by $85 million, with margins expected to be approximately 49% and a 210 basis point improvement

    Raised by $46,000,000, with margins expected to be approximately 49%, with strong second-half margins at or near 50%

    lowered

    AFFO per Share Growth

    FY 2025

    AFFO per share growth of 7% to 9% (with overall AFFO raised by $69 million)

    Expected AFFO per share growth ranging between 7% to 10% compared to the previous year

    raised

    Capital Expenditures

    FY 2025

    Expected to range between $3.4 billion and $3.7 billion, including approximately $180 million of on-balance sheet xScale spend and about $270 million of recurring CapEx

    Expected to range between $3.8 billion and $4.3 billion, including a recurring CapEx of $280,000,000

    raised

    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    Recurring revenue growth

    Q1 2025: Reported 8% YoY growth on $2.2B revenues with expectations for stepped‐up recurring revenue. Q4 2024: Solid recurring revenue performance underpinning 2025 guidance and margin expansion.

    Q2 2025: Strong recurring revenue growth of 7% YoY driven by robust bookings momentum and expectations for further quarterly improvement.

    Consistent focus with steady growth, continuing from prior periods.

    Bookings pipeline consistency

    Q1 2025: Emphasized consistent pipeline with over 4,100 deals across 3,200+ customers and strong deal conversion. Q4 2024: Achieved record gross bookings and a robust backlog supporting future growth.

    Q2 2025: Maintained a strong, consistent pipeline with 4,100 deals across 3,300+ customers and $345 million of annualized gross bookings, reinforcing near-term revenue momentum.

    Stable emphasis on pipeline consistency across periods.

    AI-driven demand

    Q1 2025: Focus on AI-related customer deployments (e.g. Blocks deploying DGX Superpod, Grok scaling high-performance infrastructure) driven by cloud and hyperscaler relationships. Q4 2024: Highlighted AI inference demand and expected widespread AI adoption.

    Q2 2025: Shift from pilot phases to full “always-on AI” integration with customers establishing AI centers of excellence and deploying secure, distributed AI use cases.

    Evolving from early wins to more mature, integrated AI adoption.

    Infrastructure expansion

    Q1 2025: Stressed expansion with active xScale projects and projects like Washington D.C. (DC17) to boost capacity. Q4 2024: Emphasized large-scale expansion and new data center builds to overcome capacity constraints.

    Q2 2025: Continued global infrastructure expansion with 59 major projects underway, including new retail projects and an acquisition in the Philippines, demonstrating sustained capital investment.

    Ongoing aggressive expansion with geographic and capacity diversification.

    Accelerated capacity expansion and new capacity stabilization (Build Bolder strategy)

    Q1 2025: Noted accelerated build timelines (e.g. NY3, DC16, LD14) and transitioning to larger, fewer IBXs to meet demand. Q4 2024: Highlighted streamlined build cycles and robust retail & xScale pipelines to overcome Tier 1 constraints.

    Q2 2025: Detailed focus on the Build Bolder strategy with pre-purchase of components, collapsing build phases, and shortened stabilization timelines to support accelerated capacity delivery.

    Continued aggressive capacity initiatives with heightened emphasis on risk mitigation and pre-buy strategies.

    Customer churn and retention challenges

    Q1 2025: MRR churn at 2.4% with notable effects from bankruptcies (e.g. Technicolor in EMEA) while expecting most churn to be temporary. Q4 2024: Reported 2.5% MRR churn with normalization around 2.2%, emphasizing frictional churn and interconnection benefits.

    Q2 2025: MRR churn increased slightly to 2.6%, driven mainly by the AGEO bankruptcy, though most churn does not lead to permanent customer loss, reinforcing the role of capacity expansion in retention efforts.

    Slight uptick in churn in Q2 due to a specific bankruptcy, but overall retention strategies continue to mitigate long-term impacts.

    Margin pressure and revenue growth concerns

    Q1 2025: Discussed margins at 48% with expectations to reach near 50% later in the year and maintained 8% YoY revenue growth despite some churn events. Q4 2024: Focused on margin expansion (improving adjusted EBITDA by 190 bps) and steady recurring revenue offsetting deceleration concerns.

    Q2 2025: No margin pressure noted; instead, reported historic adjusted EBITDA margins reaching 50% and raised full-year 2025 revenue guidance (7%-8% growth), emphasizing strong financial performance.

    A shift from cautious commentary to an optimistic tone as margins and revenue growth strengthen.

    Interconnection revenue dynamics

    Q1 2025: Reported 9% YoY growth in interconnection revenue with 3,900 new interconnections driven by new deployments and virtual connections. Q4 2024: Also seen 9% YoY growth with 6,000 incremental interconnections and increasing adoption of higher-speed circuits.

    Q2 2025: Interconnection revenue grew by 8% YoY with 6,200 new interconnections, driven by cloud and AI expansion, while acknowledging past volatility (sawtooth pattern) noted by market analysts.

    Consistently strong growth with minor volatility noted earlier, now reinforced by robust new additions.

    Risks from accelerated CapEx/spend and build execution issues

    Q1 2025: No explicit mention of risks; general comments on accelerated capacity builds were noted. Q4 2024: Indirectly addressed through streamlined build cycles to overcome capacity constraints.

    Q2 2025: Explicitly addressed risks related to supply chain constraints and energy access; detailed pre-purchase strategies and maintaining RFS delivery dates to mitigate execution issues.

    Increased focus in Q2 on proactively managing external risks, showing a move toward more detailed risk mitigation.

    xScale expansion and market penetration

    Q1 2025: Emphasized a strong xScale pipeline with robust pre-leasing, strategic hyperscaler relationships, and $40M SG&A investments in xScale. Q4 2024: Demonstrated aggressive xScale growth with tripled investment capital and 16 projects, achieving over 85% pre-leasing.

    Q2 2025: Continued xScale expansion with 12 global projects underway, over 85% leased/pre-leased, and active executive engagement with hyperscaler partners to secure additional capacity for AI workloads.

    Consistent robust growth with ongoing strategic initiatives centered on AI and hyperscalers, reinforcing market penetration.

    Decline of nonrecurring revenue focus

    Q1 2025: Noted a decline, with nonrecurring revenue expected to drop by $38M due to lower fit-out costs for xScale projects. Q4 2024: Indicated nonrecurring revenues would remain flat in 2025, with the focus shifting to recurring revenue growth.

    Q2 2025: Reported a noticeable decline in nonrecurring revenues (from lower XScale fit-out revenues), with an anticipated uptick later in Q4 driven by the xScale pipeline.

    Continued lower emphasis on nonrecurring revenue, with expectations of recovery in later quarters.

    Challenges in penetrating smaller customer segments

    Q4 2024: Highlighted challenges in reaching smaller customer segments due to historical enterprise-focus, prompting initiatives like enhanced channel programs and digital sales motions. Q1 2025: Not specifically mentioned.

    Q2 2025: No specific mention of challenges with smaller customer segments was provided.

    Reduced focus or omission in Q2, suggesting either resolution of past challenges or a strategic shift toward larger accounts.

    1. Bookings Momentum
      Q: What's driving Q3 bookings momentum?
      A: Management noted that strong Q2 performance—with 40% of Q3 bookings already locked in from presales and a growing pipeline—lays a solid foundation for recurring revenue, signaling robust future growth.

    2. Stabilization Timing
      Q: How fast will new projects stabilize?
      A: They expect an accelerated stabilization process, reducing the typical 18–24 month timeline by leveraging single-phase builds and pre-sale activity from larger enterprise footprints.

    3. Interconnection Growth
      Q: What drove interconnection growth?
      A: Driven by rising cloud and AI demand, interconnection revenues grew 8% year-over-year with 6,200 new net additions, bolstering the firm’s connectivity platform.

    4. MRR Churn & ExScale
      Q: How are churn and ex-scale leasing trends?
      A: Adjusted for unique events, MRR churn remains within the 2%–2.5% range, and while ex-scale leasing is inherently lumpy, it is expected to deliver a step-up in recurring revenue in upcoming quarters.

    5. CapEx Acceleration
      Q: Can CapEx investments be accelerated?
      A: The team is focused on accelerating capacity delivery through pre-buy strategies, though supply chain and energy constraints may temper the pace of additional investments.

    6. Pre-buy & Demand
      Q: Does equipment pre-buy affect future AFFO?
      A: While pre-buying smooths the timing of capital spend slightly, the real driver for AFFO improvement is strong operating performance and tactical debt management.

    7. Interest Capitalization
      Q: Why capitalize interest now compared to before?
      A: With a higher volume of assets under development, interest capitalization plays a larger role now than in the past when lower investment levels rendered it less impactful.

    8. Stabilized Growth
      Q: Why is stabilized portfolio growth modest?
      A: A steady 3% growth in the stabilized colocation portfolio reflects high-return mature assets, even as key assets move into expansion, balancing market dynamics across major and emerging metros.

    9. Customer Service
      Q: How will new leadership improve customer experience?
      A: The appointment of a new Chief Customer and Revenue Officer is expected to further enhance the customer journey and service excellence, building on strong NPS feedback and proactive partnership engagement.

    Research analysts covering EQUINIX.